PDE 2035 projects a leap in the electrification of road transport.
- REDAÇÃO H2RADAR
- Nov 24
- 2 min read
The transition to low-emission mobility is gaining new momentum in Brazil. According to the Electromobility Notebook of the Ten-Year Energy Expansion Plan (PDE 2035), published by the Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) and the Energy Research Company (EPE), the country is entering a phase of technological consolidation, infrastructure expansion, and increased access to electrified vehicles. The document reveals a structural movement that combines market growth, robust public policies, and an upward adoption curve in both individual and public transport, as well as the freight sector.
The leap in electrification: accelerated growth, projections for 2035, and strategic challenges
The study shows that sales of electrified vehicles exploded in 2024: an 89% increase in the total number of electrified vehicles and an impressive 219% increase in 100% electric vehicles (BEVs), driven by the fall in price differentials, the arrival of new imported models, and greater technological maturity. Meanwhile, charging infrastructure is expanding, albeit unevenly—with São Paulo concentrating 30% of installed charging stations. Projections for 2035 reinforce this trend: 23% of light vehicle registrations are expected to be electrified, totaling 784,000 units, and the accumulated fleet of this segment could reach 3.7 million vehicles, maintaining the dominance of flex-fuel technology, which will continue to represent 76% of the national base.
Electrification is also advancing in urban transport and logistics niches. The New PAC (Growth Acceleration Program) is already injecting scale into fleet renewal, allocating R$ 7.3 billion in the 2023 selection alone for the acquisition of 2,296 electric buses, complemented by investments in Euro VI buses and rail systems. Within the PDE (Energy Development Plan) horizon, Brazil could have 48,500 electrified buses by 2035, of which 43,500 will be fully electric.
The expansion of electromobility will increase electricity demand from 627 GWh to 7.8 TWh by 2035, posing new challenges in planning, pricing, and security of supply—while the study also warns of global pressures on the supply chain of minerals critical to batteries.
